Gambling and War (Risk, Reward, and Chance in International Conflict)

ISBN: 9781682472194
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$34.00
SKU:
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Overview

In 1914, as Germany mobilized for war, Chancellor Theobald von Bethmann-Hollweg remarked to the country's legislators, “If the iron dice must roll, then God help us.” War has often been compared to a game of dice or a lottery. But just as frequently, war has been compared to a game of pure strategy like chess. In reality, the business of negotiating with adversaries, fighting wars, and ending wars is far more complicated than a game of chess, where each player can see all the pieces on the board and knows the possible moves that they can make. War is far more chaotic and unpredictable. And yet, international bargaining and international conflict is not a simple dice game either, where human beings have no control over the outcome. Justin Conrad bets that war is more like a game of poker. Gambling and War: Risk, Reward, and Chance in International Conflict. brings readers a war college course taught at a Las Vegas casino. To succeed in poker, it is not enough to simply anticipate the actions of other players and try to outsmart them. A successful player must also understand and appreciate the role of randomness. Additionally, players must confront the reality that all human beings are prone to errors in judgment, which causes them to make suboptimal choices under many circumstances. Taken together, these challenges make poker a fascinating and highly unpredictable game, much like the challenges of international conflicts. Any comprehensive analysis of why wars occur and how they are fought must take into account a variety of factors including strategy, human error, and dumb luck. Gambling and War applies lessons learned from poker, blackjack, roulette, and other games of chance to the study of international conflict. Drawing on scholarly insights from a variety of fields, including probability, statistics, political science, psychology, and economics, Conrad offers thoughts on how we can better manage and prevent international conflict, the costliest game of all.

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Product Details

Author:
Justin Conrad
Format:
Hardcover
Pages:
256
Publisher:
Naval Institute Press (October 15, 2017)
Imprint:
Naval Institute Press
Language:
English
Audience:
General/trade
ISBN-13:
9781682472194
ISBN-10:
1682472191
Weight:
20oz
Dimensions:
6" x 9"
File:
PGW-LEGATO-Metadata_Only_Publishers_Group_West_Customer_Group_Metadata_20250602160408-20250602.xml
Folder:
PGW
List Price:
$34.00
Country of Origin:
United States
Pub Discount:
60
Case Pack:
22
As low as:
$19.38
Publisher Identifier:
P-PER
Discount Code:
C

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